Sanders, Trump win big in New Happier after losses in Iowa week prior
Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton substantially and John Kasich came in second following Donald Trump in the New Hampshire primary Feb. 9.
Sanders led Clinton 60-38 percent in the Democratic race in New Hampshire following Sanders' razor-thin loss in the Iowa Caucus Feb. 1.
Clinton was officially announced the winner of the Democratic race in the Iowa Caucus after controversy surrounded the incredibly close results between the two candidates. During final speeches, Sanders claimed the two were in a virtual tie.
The Iowa Democratic Party said she barely made the win and votes were so close that some divisions were decided by the flip of a coin. Despite the win, Clinton might see a dip in numbers in the future.
"Given that [Sanders polled] significantly higher than Clinton in New Hampshire, it could be a rough start to the 2016 race for Clinton," said Professor of Political Science James Davenport. "What we don't know is if Sanders will be able to use the success in Iowa and his victory in New Hampshire to really make a strong run for the Democratic nomination."
On the Republican side, Trump won by double digits after Cruz triumphed over Trump a week prior: Kasich came in a distant second.
The Iowa Caucus ended with Crus crusading a 27.7 to Trump's 24.3 percent. Trump demanded a recount, claiming Cruz "stole" the victory when a flier from Cruz's campaign arose, falsely stating Ben Carson suspended his campaign and encouraging his supporters to begin voting for Crus. However, after the New Hampshire win, Trump is adament he will make the world respect America again.
Marco Rubio fell to last place in New Hampshire despite doing surprisingly well in Iowa, almost catching up to Trump. His final count was 21 percent in Iowa and 10.6 percent in New Hampshire.
"[Rubio's] campaign apparently had a very good effort in the closing days of the race in Iowa," Davenport said of the Iowa Caucus. "Several analysts have noted that of those who made their decision on who they would vote for in the last few days before the caucus, more broke for Rubio than any other Republican candidate."
Both Crus and Rubio ran conventional ground campaigns, making appearances at local restaurants and county meetings. They spent weeks prior to the caucus conducting bus tours and made their way around the states, talking up as many votes as possible.
Since the beginning, Trump's campaign has been self-funded, letting his brand do the talking. Trump neglected to do any ground campaigning and his second place turnout may have been the consequence for this decision. He recently began running television adverts. However there is no clear sign that these ads were the fire behind his campaign success in New Hampshire.
Four Republicans and one Democrat have already suspended their campaigns due to weak showings in the two primaries.
"We will have a better picture of who the 'survivors' are by the time the Oklahoma primary arrives," said Davenport.
Oklahoma's primary will be on Super Tuesday which is March 1.
Davenport will hold a panel discussion March 1, focusing on the presidential primary in Oklahoma.
"We'll have several panelists discussing what has happened up to that point, what they expect to happen in Oklahoma and others states holding primaries on that date and what they expect to happen going forward."
This event is open to the public and anyone interested in hearing experts share first-hand knowledge about what they predict the results of these primaries can attend.
For more information, contact Davenport at 733-7922.